The .20 Delta — Conservative Income
The .20 Delta — Conservative Income
The .20 delta strike is the conservative end of the wheel trader's spectrum. Selling a put at this level means you are choosing a strike with approximately an 80% probability of expiring out-of-the-money. You trade premium size for a high win rate and a larger margin of safety before assignment kicks in.
- Win rate: ~80% of trades expire worthless (you keep full premium)
- Typical premium: 0.5%-1.0% of the strike price per month
- Annualized yield: 6%-12% on committed capital (before compounding)
- Distance from current price: usually 5%-10% OTM depending on IV
When to Use the .20 Delta
This delta shines when implied volatility is elevated (VIX above 20) because the premium is still meaningful even at a conservative distance. It is also the right choice for your largest positions, high-conviction long-term holdings you would be happy to own but prefer to buy at a significant discount, and market environments where you sense risk but still want to stay active.
The .20 delta is your defensive posture. Experienced wheel traders often allocate 40%-60% of their cash-secured put capital to this level, reserving higher deltas for smaller, more opportunistic positions.
- •.20 delta ≈ 80% chance of keeping full premium
- •Best for large positions, elevated IV, and uncertain markets
- •Expect 0.5%-1.0% monthly return on committed capital
- •Use this delta for your core, bread-and-butter income trades
You sell a .20 delta put on MSFT with 30 DTE. Roughly how often will this trade expire worthless?